MARSH NOVICES CHASE
This was a great race last year when we had the great finish with Faugheen, Melon and Samcro. It was a great race to watch, three Irish horses down over the last upsides.
I think we have a very good horse running in this, Envoi Allen. He’s unbeaten, and seems to be very, very good. He won a point-to-point, four bumpers, four hurdles and now he’s won three chases. That’s a serious record to have.
He’s taken to chases very easily. And he always looked like he was going to be a very good chaser. He recently moved to Henry De Bromhead’s yard; I don’t think that will make a major difference. If he was a young horse, you’d say it would make a difference but he seems to a very relaxed horse and Henry said he has settled in very well since he was down there.
He’s the one to beat in this race. Chantry House is next in the betting, he won last time out but it wasn’t the greatest of races, he’ll need to improve massively. I just can’t see Envoi Allen beaten, he’s 4/6 for this race but if it was being run in Ireland, he’d be 1/15.
I’ve been disappointed by Allaho. I know he won last time in Thurles but I was slightly disappointed with his previous run at Leopardstown at Christmas in the Savills Chase. They went a right good gallop and I thought Paul (Townend) gave him a right good ride to get him to finish out his race and he couldn’t do it. I know the Ryanair is 2 mile 5 furlong but I just feel that he has been a small bit disappointing.
There’s a horse of Nicky Henderson’s, Mister Fisher, he won last year and he think he could be the one to beat. He’s 8/1 so you’re getting a bit of value. We’re getting away from the Irish horses here but I think this race could stay in England.
Unfortunately, Thyme Hill, who was near the top of the betting has pulled leaving Paisley Park as a clear favourite. It was between those two.
Paisley Park only beat him a neck last time in the Grade 1 Hurdle in the Long Walk in Ascot in December and came back to somewhat of what we know of him to be after disappointing on his previous two runs. He won this race impressively two years ago and he seems like the one to beat.
Sire Du Burlais, who won the Pretemps last year, and then came out this year and very impressive in Navan. He was then beaten behind Gavin Cromwell’s Flooring Porter at Leopardstown.
Paisley Park probably shouldn’t have won last time but he finished well and won snugly in the end. I think he will win this. Flooring Porter will make the pace here and that will suit Paisley Park so I will side with him.